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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Aussie Briefly Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Check the live forecast above for your local area before making winter plans, as Australia’s 2026 winter outlook points to a drier-than-average season across much of the mainland, driven by a developing El Niño pattern.
What is the winter weather forecast for Australia?
The Bureau of Meteorology’s latest 3 month rainfall outlook for NSW and other eastern states shows a tilt toward below-average rain from June to August. Maximum temperatures are likely to be warmer than normal across the north and west, while southern regions may see cooler spells. The 28 day long range weather forecast for capital cities like Sydney and Melbourne will help you track short-term shifts.
Is winter going to be cold this year in Australia?
Not uniformly. While the 2026 winter weather predictions for Australia suggest above-average daytime warmth in the tropics and interior, overnight lows could dip sharply in the southeast. The 2026 weather predictions Australia map indicates a higher chance of frost events in Victoria and NSW, particularly away from the coast. For Perth and Adelaide, expect milder nights than usual.
Will the 2026 winter be as dry as last year?
Current modelling suggests a similar pattern, though not as extreme. The 2026 weather predictions australia show a 60–70% chance of below-median rain for NSW and Queensland, but the intensity depends on how strong El Niño becomes by mid-year.
How reliable are the 28 day long range weather forecasts?
They are most useful for identifying broad trends, not exact daily conditions. The Bureau updates its 28 day outlook weekly, and combining it with the 3 month rainfall outlook nsw map gives a clearer picture of likely dry spells or cold snaps.
Does this winter forecast affect summer 2025 weather predictions australia?
Not directly. The summer 2025 weather predictions australia are driven by different seasonal factors. However, a strong El Niño winter can sometimes linger, influencing the following summer’s heat and storm patterns.
For daily updates, see our Australia weather hub, or check Sydney Weather and Melbourne Weather for city-specific outlooks. Stay alert to any Severe Weather Warning issued during cold fronts.